Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.050392 0.058704 0.067828 0.078568 0.090846 0.104425 0.120561
2025-05-25 0.037203 0.047896 0.060714 0.077138 0.097545 0.121980 0.153362
2025-06-01 0.029240 0.041107 0.056468 0.077641 0.105872 0.141998 0.191471
2025-06-08 0.022822 0.034767 0.051341 0.075726 0.110330 0.157254 0.225172
2025-06-15 0.019761 0.032295 0.050770 0.079517 0.122532 0.183773 0.276603
2025-06-22 0.016485 0.028797 0.048004 0.079495 0.128975 0.202633 0.319062
2025-06-29 0.013518 0.025168 0.044350 0.077386 0.131720 0.216010 0.354476
2025-07-06 0.011380 0.022488 0.041721 0.076380 0.135812 0.231526 0.394310
2025-07-13 0.010446 0.021750 0.042194 0.080510 0.148605 0.261823 0.460118
2025-07-20 0.009467 0.020733 0.041988 0.083346 0.159388 0.289686 0.524292
2025-07-27 0.008054 0.018598 0.039382 0.081424 0.161473 0.302919 0.564850
2025-08-03 0.007010 0.017022 0.037589 0.080735 0.165599 0.319884 0.613073
2025-08-10 0.005930 0.015190 0.035061 0.078366 0.166478 0.331460 0.653449
2025-08-17 0.005076 0.013699 0.033006 0.076661 0.168421 0.345139 0.698880
2025-08-24 0.004507 0.012769 0.032012 0.077021 0.174483 0.367051 0.761466
2025-08-31 0.003860 0.011510 0.030074 0.075051 0.175480 0.379197 0.806355
2025-09-07 0.003648 0.011342 0.030649 0.078775 0.188923 0.417108 0.904608
2025-09-14 0.003247 0.010575 0.029656 0.078735 0.194142 0.438771 0.972138
2025-09-21 0.002797 0.009570 0.027905 0.076636 0.194497 0.450336 1.019974
2025-09-28 0.002459 0.008816 0.026675 0.075635 0.197218 0.467072 1.079774
2025-10-05 0.002365 0.008802 0.027423 0.079726 0.212325 0.511769 1.202059
2025-10-12 0.002227 0.008616 0.027666 0.082535 0.224625 0.551243 1.315942
2025-10-19 0.001942 0.007873 0.026211 0.080630 0.225151 0.564387 1.373259